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Archive for February, 2009

Financing Condo’s: One Lender’s Requirements.

This is the requiremnt of a specific lender effective immediately for condo financing.  One should expect other lenders to follow suit.

The condominium must meet the criteria for Established Projects:

  • At least 90% of the total units have been sold and recorded, and
  • Control of the HOA has been turned over to the unit owners, and
  • The project or conversion is complete and not subject to additional phasing or annexation.

In addition to meeting the Established Project criteria, the condominium must meet the following eligibility requirements:

  • The LTV/LCTV does not exceed 80% for Primary Residences and 75% for Second Homes.
  • The Condominium Project can not exceed 7 stories.
  • The project does not have common areas or recreational facilities leased to or by the HOA.
  • There is no litigation pending with regard to the project or HOA with respect to safety, structural soundess, or habilitiy of the property or adversely affect the financial solvency of the HOA.
  • HOA must waive its “right of first refusal” to the sale, lease or transfer of a unit in case of foreclosure or deed in lieu.
  • Commercial use within the project can not exceed 20% of the total square footage for the project and compatible with residential use.
  • No more than 15% of total units are delinquent on their HOA dues by more than 30 days.
  • The project is not an ineligible project, such as being subject to inclusionary zoning, being a condo-hotel or timeshare, having rental programs, multi-dwelling units, manufactured homes or houseboats.
  • The HOA maintains “master” or “blanket” type of insurance covering all general and limited common elements with:
    • 100% replacement cost of project facilities, including individual units.
    • Maximum deductible is 5% of face amount of policy.
    • General liability coverage of $1,000,000 for bodily injury and property damage for entire project for any single occurence.
    • Flood insurance, current coverage, if applicable.
    • Fidelity bond is required for any project with more than 20 units (coverage equal to the total monthly assessment of HOA dues for all units times 3 months).

These requirements may appear a little dicey but they are basically the same as they were about 10 years ago.

Your comments are welcomed.

Posted by John Duffner | Currently Comments Off

The Housing Package….A Summary

The following information was provided by Connie Wright of the Wright Mortgage Company in Chico, CA.  An excellent summary of what the “help families keep their home” legislation is all about.

Also note that John Duffner’s Mortgage Brokerage, Inc., works in association with the Wright Mortgage Company.

Lastly, I have been given permission to duplicate this article for this blog.  Enjoy the reading.

If you find the article as interesting as I, send Connie a note.  Information is at the bottom of the article.

The Article:

The Obama administration’s $275 billion plan to help up to 9 million families restructure or refinance their mortgages offers carrots for borrowers and lenders, including incentive payments and partial guarantees against losses for lenders who agree to modify loans.

But the administration is also seeking a stick: granting bankruptcy judges the power to modify the terms of mortgages when borrowers end up in their courts, regardless of whether lenders agree to go along.
 

The mortgage lending industry has long opposed these so-called “cram-downs” of mortgages in bankruptcy court, saying the practice will drive up the cost of home loans for all borrowers.
 

Although the Obama administration will be able to implement some aspects of its homeowner affordability and stability plan without congressional action, cram-downs would require an act of Congress to amend the bankruptcy code.
 

Carrots for loan mods

Carrots for the lending industry in the plan rolled out today include a $75 billion homeowner stability initiative that the Treasury Department estimates could prop up the average home price by $6,000 by facilitating 3 million to 4 million loan modifications.
 

The stability initiative would pay loan servicers a $1,000 upfront fee for each loan modification they make that meets the program’s guidelines, plus $1,000 a year for up to three years when borrowers stay current on their loans.

The guidelines would require lenders to reduce a loan’s interest rate so that a borrower’s monthly mortgage payment is no more than 38 percent of the borrower’s income. The initiative would then provide dollar-for-dollar matches for further interest-rate reductions to bring mortgage payments down to 31 percent of a borrower’s income.
 

The lower rates would have to remain in place for five years, after which they would gradually step back up to the rate in place when the loan was modified. Borrowers would also be eligible for incentive payments — up to $1,000 a year for five years as long as they are current on their loan.
 

The homeowner stability initiative would also create a new insurance fund of up to $10 billion to partially insure lenders against losses on modified loans. Payments to lenders would be tied to declines in the home-price index — helping assuage fears that engaging in loan workouts rather than foreclosing on homes now is a mistake if home prices will continue to fall.
 

The loan modification program is focused on borrowers with high mortgage debt or who are “underwater” — meaning they owe more on their home than it’s currently worth. Homeowners whose total debt is 55 percent or more of their income can still qualify, but will have to agree to enter a HUD-certified consumer debt counseling program.
 

Refinancing program

The Obama administration said it would also enlist Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in a new program it expects to produce 4 million to 5 million loan refinancing.

That program is aimed at helping homeowners who made down payments when taking out conforming loans owned or guaranteed by Fannie or Freddie, but who have since seen the value of their homes decline to the point where they have less than 20 percent equity — making it difficult to refinance into a low-cost home.

The administration cited a family that made a 20 percent down payment on a $260,000 home that’s now worth only $221,000 as an example of a borrower who would be eligible for the refinance plan. The refinancing plan would allow the hypothetical family to refinance their 6.5 percent mortgage to around 5.16 percent — saving them $2,300 a year despite having less than 10 percent equity in their home.
 

To support low mortgage rates for borrowers who qualify for loans eligible for purchase or guarantee by Fannie and Freddie, the Obama administration said it stood ready to buy up to $200 billion in preferred stock in each company, doubling the existing commitment of $100 billion each.
 

That appropriation was previously authorized by Congress in July 2008 under the Housing and Economic Recovery Act, and does not use any money from the $787 billion financial stimulus bill signed into law Tuesday or the $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP).
 

The $75 billion homeowner stability initiative will reportedly rely on $50 billion from TARP, and another $25 billion from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

Fannie and Freddie will also be allowed to increase their retained mortgage portfolios — loans the companies hold for investment — to $900 billion, an increase of about 6 percent from the existing limit of $850 billion.
 

Reaction

The Center for Responsible Lending welcomed the plan, saying it recognizes that “voluntary actions to avert foreclosures without real government action simply have not worked. With this plan in place, there will be more options and incentives for servicers and investors to avoid foreclosures that don’t need to happen.”

Granting bankruptcy judges cram-down powers “will provide a new avenue for reducing hundreds of thousands of foreclosures without requiring any tax dollars,” the center said — and provide stronger incentives for loan servicers to enter into voluntary loan modifications.
 

John Courson, president and CEO of the Mortgage Bankers Association, said that while the group was encouraged by the variety of alternatives the plan offered borrowers to avoid foreclosure, it seemed to offer little help to borrowers whose loan exceeds their property value by more than 5 percent.
 

The 105 percent loan-to-value ratio limit on refinancing will limit the plan’s success in some of the hardest hit areas in California, Florida, Nevada and Arizona, as well as some areas on the East Coast, Courson said.

The plan also offers no assistance to borrowers with jumbo mortgages and those whose mortgages are in private label securities, Courson said.
 

Dan Green, a Cincinnati-based loan officer for Mobium Mortgage Group Inc., said the government is taking a broad approach to the fundamental issues of supply and demand.
 

“Falling prices are symptomatic of a lack of demand or too much supply,” Green said. “The government can’t control prices, but they can influence supply and demand. This is a broad approach, and they are hitting the market in so many places, it’s OK if one of them fails.”
 

Green recently blogged about one example of this broad approach: Fannie Mae this month announced it is increasing from four to 10 the number of single-family loans it will provide financing for, for experienced investors with good credit.

“All this stuff is related,” Green said. Other incentives on the demand side include the $8,000 tax credit for first-time home-buyers in the economic stimulus bill signed into law Tuesday.
 

On the supply side, the Obama administration’s claims that it can prevent as many as 9 million foreclosures may prove to be overly optimistic, as were similar claims made by the Bush administration when it rolled out new programs.

But Green noted that transactions in many markets are up as investors snatch up distressed properties at bargain prices, and that home-builders have cut production of new homes drastically.
 

“That’s getting inventory off the market, and all that was happening before Fannie opened up to 10 units per person,” Green said. “I hear investors show up at an auction and say they want to buy more but they can’t — they are handcuffed” by financing issues.
 

Dismal numbers on housing starts released today are actually a good sign, Green said, because builders aren’t adding more supply.
 

The Commerce Department reported that housing starts dropped 16.8 percent from December to January, to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 466,000 units. That’s a 56.2 percent drop in the rate of new home construction from a year ago.

“Everybody says it’s a terrible sign that the economy is in bad shape — it’s actually hastening the recovery,” Green said. “I think we’ll look back and see December 2008 was the start of the housing recovery.”
 

The American Bankers Association called the plan “a constructive, flexible and multifaceted initiative” that’s “likely to have a positive effect on preventing mortgage foreclosures.”
 

The plan represents a “major commitment of funding sufficient in scope to have a significant impact,” the group said, aimed at the homeowners who are most likely to avoid foreclosure.
 

Cram-downs

While many aspects of the administration’s plan to boost loan modifications and refinancing were welcomed by real estate and consumer groups, the administration’s continued support for changes to the bankruptcy code may prove worrisome to mortgage lenders.
 

So-called mortgage cram-downs have been a hot-button issue since the fall of 2007, when Sen. Dick Durbin, D-Ill., introduced legislation that would have amended the bankruptcy code to give judges the power to modify mortgage loans, including principal reductions.
 

Bankruptcy judges already have the power to restructure other consumer debt, such as car loans and credit-card loans, when they see opportunities to provide troubled borrowers relief without relieving them of all their obligations to repay creditors.

Bankruptcy judges can even modify the terms of a mortgage on an investment property or vacation home, but not a borrower’s principal residence.

Many in the mortgage lending industry want to preserve the protections against cram-downs on most home loans, saying that all borrowers can expect to pay more if they are lifted.
 

Critics of cram-downs say bankruptcy courts would be flooded with indebted homeowners, and that investors who fund mortgage lending through the purchase of mortgage-backed securities would demand greater returns if they perceived there was a risk that the loans could be modified without their consent.

Although the cram-down legislation being considered by Congress would apply only to some loans made during the housing boom — loans made in the future would remain exempt — critics say that if Congress demonstrates a willingness to change the rules of the game once, there are no assurances it won’t do so again.
 

Many who support granting bankruptcy judges more power to modify mortgages say the lending industry has overstated the potential impacts for borrowers, and that the prospect of borrowers ending up in bankruptcy court would serve as an incentive for lenders to do more voluntary loan modifications.

The Obama administration said it will seek “careful changes” to the bankruptcy code to allow modifications of mortgages written “in the past few years” when borrowers run out of other options.
 

Only existing mortgages under Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac’s conforming loan limits would be eligible for court-ordered modifications, so that “millionaire homes don’t clog the bankruptcy courts,” the administration said.
 

The bankruptcy code would be changed so that mortgage loans exceeding the current value of a property would be treated as unsecured, allowing a bankruptcy judge to develop a plan for the homeowner to make payments that are affordable.
 

To be eligible for a cram-down, homeowners would be required to first ask their lender or loan servicer for a modification, and certify that they have complied with “reasonable requests from the servicer to provide essential information.”
 

Last month, Durbin announced that Citigroup had agreed to support his cram-down bill after the bill’s sponsors agreed to limit the legislation to existing mortgages, and require homeowners to contact their lender about a modification before filing for bankruptcy.
 

Mortgage Bankers Association Chairman David Kittle said borrowers who can’t be helped by the Obama administration’s new loan modification and refinancing measures are also likely to have a hard time regaining their footing in bankruptcy court.“Our fear is that … their bankruptcy plan will fail, they will lose their home anyway, and will now be stuck with the black mark of bankruptcy on their record” making it harder to buy or rent a home in the future, Kittle said.

While welcoming many aspects of the plan, the American Bankers Association also said it was committed to “working closely with the administration as it completes the remaining details of the plan.”

Your comments are welcomed.  Again send Connie an email regarding this article.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~The Wright Mortgage Company
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~Connie WrightThe Wright Mortgage Company1166 Esplanade, Suite 2Chico, CA 95926

530.343.2454

connie@twmc.net 

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

My Best to You,  Connie Wright  Director of Mortgages 

Posted by John Duffner | Currently 14 Comments »

Fear Is A Great Change Motivator.

According to the dictionary fear is defined as as being afraid; feeling that danger or evil is near; dread.

Since the beginning of time fear has been used to get people to change.  The early Church is an example of this control mechanism and all religions and politicians have used it extensively over time.

This was quite evident with the stimulus package.  It was voted on and perhaps 5 or 6 people actually read the whole legislation.  All one heard or read is that if this legislation did not pass all heck was going to happened. 

Well it past and perhaps fear was not evident to many before its passage but we can see how piggish and greedy it gets when it comes time for political pay back.  All of us  will see and feel this excess for years to come.

What does the stimulus package do for real estate? 

Very little but there will be another piece of legislation that will address real estate.  The cost of this new legislation will be another trillion dollars.

Side bar:  It is funny but initially everyone wanted to fix real estate first.  Now however it is taking a back seat to everything else.  I guess the real estate market was not that important.

The stimulus package and all the talk about it is a lot of pork.  More candidly it consist of a lot of crap.  Crap is crap no matter what kind of package it comes in.  Throw enough of it against the wall and hope that it sticks.  When it dries we can hose it off. Get ready with the hoses.

Items included in the stimulus package inserted to help  real estate included:

  • it reset conforming loan limit cap at $ 729,750 up from $ 625,000;
  • 1st time home-buyers get a credit of $ 8,000 if they purchase a home between January 1 and December 1, 2009;
  • removed from the package was the condition that an individual getting this credit had to live in the home for 3 years.

That was the real estate portion of the stimulus package.  Nothing to get excited about.   

More interesting was that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac declared that investors can buy up to 10 properties (up from 4).  Also announced were the standards for loans which as expected are getting tighter.  The announcement indicated that:

* The minimum credit score goes to 720

* 75% LTV for a Purchase  for 1 unit properties

* 70% LTV for a Purchase  on 2-4 unit properties

* No Bankruptcies or Foreclosures for 7 years

* No late payments within the last 12 months on any mortgages

* In order to include the rental income from other rental properties, a two year history is required from the borrower’s Federal income tax returns. 

*  6 months reserves will be required on each investment property that you own including the subject property.

These standards will be modified as time goes on but as of today investors and home buyers are going to have to ante up more money.

Ventura County.

With the going’s on in Sacramento it appears that we are in store for a big tax hike.  Gasoline which has an 18 cent tax plus a 6% state sales tax (this will go up), and a 1.25% county tax plus additional sales taxes and a 1.2 cent per gallon State UST fee will be going up to about 26 cents per gallon plus all the other associated fees.  That is approximately a 40% increase in the gas tax.

I suspect that the reason for such an increase is to allow the State to maintain parityAuto gas mileage is forecast to go up say from approximately 25 miles per gallon to about 35-40 miles per gallon.  That is a 40% increase in gas mileage.

The State recognizes that the number of gallons people will buy will decrease therefore they have to increase the gasoline tax to maintain their income.  Strange how these numbers work out.

The sales tax is expected to increase about 1%, therefore Ventura County will have an 8.25% sales tax. 

Will these taxes impact real estateYes a little but the overall projection for real estate is up but it may take a little longer to achieve.  I suspect it will approximate an additional one year slip before real estate really gets legs.

Now I think it is time to start making some big changes in Sacramento.  Those folks live on a different planet.

The Ventura County weekly real estate market continues to show strength.  Properties are selling faster over the last several weeks compared to a comparable period last year. 

The Conjo Valley, Simi Valley/Moorpark area have had a significant increase in listings but the other parts of the County show a continuation of downward listings.  Prices continue to go lower but the rate of growth appear to have slowed.

The following 15 year average valuation for Ventura County shows a 27% decrease in prices for the year 2008. 

However it appears that the bottom of the market occurred in November, 2008 (see table below).  Prices for the last two months (December, 2008 and January, 2009) appear to be trying to stablize and the annual Inc/Dec % since 2008 (drop from 46% to approximately 40%) could be suggesting that the upward trend that we have been waiting for may be at hand.  That is not to suggest that further price deterioration will not occur, it simply means that the steepness of the decrease may be softening.

If February follows this pattern and it continues into March we have in place that the market is starting to settle out and ready for an upward swing.

A caveat.  It appears that Nationally real estate prices are approaching 2002-2003 prices.  If this continues than the downward price spiral will continue and one could see significant lower real estate prices in Ventura County.  As noted in the above table prices in this time frame were as low as $ 370,000 (average sales price). 

Should the real estate market start getting good press and TV coverage it will fix the pattern upward.

Seller’s have to remain patient; buyer’s who are still waiting to buy have missed the bottom.

Your comments are welcomed.

Posted by John Duffner | Currently 10 Comments »

What’s Next Doc?

There appears to be a lot of frantic talk and juggling in Washington at the expense of Mr. and Mrs. America.  (I will not say anything about the favoritism bestowed on politicians when it comes time to pay their taxes with interest and penalties.  The IRS treat politicians differently).

Young families will be taking the brunt of all this as will their children in the future.  Many people wanted change.  Well we are getting what we asked for and it may not be very pleasant.

With government now being the owner of most financial institutions and real estate in the United States the question becomes “What’s Next Doc?”  Socialism?  That appears to be the way things are going.  In Europe they want to get away from socialism; we appear to be wanting socialism.

With interest rates hovering around 4.5% (they should be lower; why they are not shows that interest rates are managed and it is not the market that sets rates) real estate sales have been accelerating as well as morgage re-financing.  Attempts to help those who bought over their heads with unreasonable type mortgages are not able to stay out of foreclosure.  It has been reported that close to 60% of those helped are now back in foreclosure.  So that concept didn’t help except to create a great deal of havoc and miss guided hope.

Side bar:  Those who are re-financing.  The IRS will be auditing re-financed mortgages.  They want to know how the re-finance monies were spent.  If spent on paying off credit cards, auto debt, etc., they will be askings for a revised income tax return.  Credit card and auto debt interest are not tax deductions.

Washington and local politicians will continue with their double talk over the next several months (it appears to be worse now than ever) and will say anything to anyone depending on the time of day and the way the moon is set in the sky.

And of course there is the bail out money.  Everyone now is in line.  States, Cities, Counties, businesses, unions, banks and other financial institutions……you name it they are in line looking for some easy money.

One of these fine days common sense may come into play but that may be just a dream.  Reality will set in when these monies have to be repaid (or do they?).

Ventura County:

Following the rest of the Country, Ventura County showed a significant increase in single family home sales.  Interest rates were quite favorable (about 4.5%) and home prices (mainly foreclosures) have been discounted significantly creating opportunities for new home owners and investors.

As noted in the chart below home sales increased approximately 70% in January, 2009 over the same month as 2008 (505 sold in January 2009 as compared to 307 in January of 2008). 

 

Listings continue to decrease; prices continue to fall; sales, as mentioned, have increased (124 in the last week of January); days on the market for listed homes has decreased; and property discounts continues to hover around 5% (difference between list price and average sales price).

The squeeze is on.  Buyers waiting to buy at lower prices may have missed the train because eventually the spring in the box is going to let go and prices will accelerate big time. 

Reference the following articles to see the picture for Ventura Count beginning in 2009 Year 2009 Fearless Forecast For Ventura County Real Estate/ and Out With The Old In With the New/   

Your comments are welcomed. 

Posted by John Duffner | Currently Comments Off